In the present era, the characteristics of agricultural development most exposed to the effects of global warming and irregular precipitation patterns remain scantily understood in the regions. The latest study aimed to identify the target regions with different degrees of variation in the average temperature, followed by their resource potential, conditions, strengthening, and production efficiency. Based on their groups through statistical studies, three groups of Russian regions attained partition (using a sample that included 77 Russian regions), with low (Group I – 20 regions), medium (Group II – 25 regions), and high (Group III – 32 regions) estimates of the linear temperature trend. In Group III, 72% of the regions appeared favorable for agriculture, according to the classification approved by the Russian Government. In Group I, 60% of the regions emerged as unfavorable. Based on the statistical indicators, these established that Group III has a considerable resource potential for agriculture, comprising 30% of agricultural lands, 36% of all crops, up to 50% of the area of fruit and berry plantations, 40% of milk production, and 69% of meat and meat products manufacture intended in this group of different regions. In Group III, conditions and intensification of production are developing more dynamically (the volume of subsidies allocated during the study period has increased almost five times), efficiency is higher (profit per 100 ha of agricultural land in Group I is 0.2 million rubles, whereas, in Group III, it equals 1 million rubles), with significant labor and human potential gathered there. This circumstance requires the development of a program for the adaptation of these regions to emerging climate changes.

Keywords: Agriculture, global warming, agricultural resources, intensification, milk and beef production, statistical analysis, rural population, gardening

Key findings: Presently, Russian agriculture is facing the challenges of global warming, with rising temperatures and uneven precipitation patterns, particularly affecting regions with the highest enhancement in the prevailing temperatures. Despite these contests, the areas with significant resource potential and intensive agricultural production have shown vibrant development, partially due to considerable state support and investment.